Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtyor Soligorsk win with a probability of 41.83%. A win for Torpedo-BelAZ had a probability of 30.75% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtyor Soligorsk win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.52%) and 0-2 (7.83%). The likeliest Torpedo-BelAZ win was 1-0 (9.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtyor Soligorsk would win this match.