Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Neman win with a probability of 44.67%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for Torpedo-BelAZ had a probability of 26.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Neman win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.2%) and 2-1 (8.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.08%), while for a Torpedo-BelAZ win it was 0-1 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Neman | Draw | Torpedo-BelAZ |
44.67% ( 0.39) | 28.95% ( -0.11) | 26.38% ( -0.28) |
Both teams to score 42.11% ( 0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
36.2% ( 0.21) | 63.8% ( -0.21) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
16.96% ( 0.15) | 83.04% ( -0.15) |
Neman Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.41% ( 0.32) | 28.59% ( -0.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.61% ( 0.39) | 64.38% ( -0.39) |
Torpedo-BelAZ Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.97% ( -0.13) | 41.03% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.41% ( -0.11) | 77.58% ( 0.11) |
Score Analysis |
Neman | Draw | Torpedo-BelAZ |
1-0 @ 14.68% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.2% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 8.19% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 3.84% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 3.42% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 1.52% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.2% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.07% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.53% Total : 44.66% | 1-1 @ 13.08% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 11.72% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 3.65% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.49% Total : 28.93% | 0-1 @ 10.44% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 5.83% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 4.65% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 1.26% Total : 26.38% |
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