Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a BATE Borisov win with a probability of 54.03%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Torpedo-BelAZ had a probability of 21.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a BATE Borisov win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.09%) and 1-2 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.58%), while for a Torpedo-BelAZ win it was 1-0 (6.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.