Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torpedo-BelAZ win with a probability of 43.73%. A win for Belshina had a probability of 30.06% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torpedo-BelAZ win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.93%) and 0-2 (7.83%). The likeliest Belshina win was 1-0 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.