Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Dzerzhinsk win with a probability of 40.99%. A win for Torpedo-BelAZ had a probability of 32.13% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Dzerzhinsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Torpedo-BelAZ win was 0-1 (9.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk | Draw | Torpedo-BelAZ |
40.99% ( -0.75) | 26.88% ( 0.03) | 32.13% ( 0.72) |
Both teams to score 50.58% ( 0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.53% ( 0.08) | 54.47% ( -0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.16% ( 0.07) | 75.83% ( -0.07) |
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.85% ( -0.36) | 26.15% ( 0.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.77% ( -0.49) | 61.22% ( 0.48) |
Torpedo-BelAZ Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.5% ( 0.54) | 31.5% ( -0.54) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.11% ( 0.62) | 67.88% ( -0.62) |
Score Analysis |
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk | Draw | Torpedo-BelAZ |
1-0 @ 11.04% ( -0.15) 2-1 @ 8.56% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 7.41% ( -0.18) 3-1 @ 3.83% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 3.31% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 2.21% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.28% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.11% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.22% Total : 40.98% | 1-1 @ 12.76% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.24% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.94% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.94% Total : 26.88% | 0-1 @ 9.52% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 7.37% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 5.5% ( 0.14) 1-3 @ 2.84% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 2.12% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.88% Total : 32.13% |
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