Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beerschot Wilrijk win with a probability of 55.72%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Leuven had a probability of 21.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Beerschot Wilrijk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.61%) and 2-0 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.51%), while for a Leuven win it was 1-2 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Beerschot Wilrijk would win this match.