Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Anderlecht win with a probability of 41.02%. A win for Charleroi had a probability of 32.91% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Anderlecht win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.71%) and 0-2 (7.07%). The likeliest Charleroi win was 1-0 (8.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Anderlecht would win this match.