SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charleroi win with a probability of 45.61%. A win for RFC Seraing had a probability of 31.75% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charleroi win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.61%) and 0-2 (6.03%). The likeliest RFC Seraing win was 2-1 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Charleroi would win this match.
| Result | ||
| RFC Seraing | Draw | Charleroi |
| 31.75% | 22.64% | 45.61% |
| Both teams to score 65.04% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.42% | 35.58% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.37% | 57.63% |
| RFC Seraing Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.54% | 22.45% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44% | 55.99% |
| Charleroi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.87% | 16.13% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 54.44% | 45.55% |
| Score Analysis |
| RFC Seraing | Draw | Charleroi |
| 2-1 @ 7.37% 1-0 @ 5.41% 2-0 @ 4.04% 3-1 @ 3.67% 3-2 @ 3.35% 3-0 @ 2.01% 4-1 @ 1.37% 4-2 @ 1.25% Other @ 3.28% Total : 31.75% | 1-1 @ 9.87% 2-2 @ 6.73% 0-0 @ 3.62% 3-3 @ 2.04% Other @ 0.39% Total : 22.64% | 1-2 @ 9.01% 0-1 @ 6.61% 0-2 @ 6.03% 1-3 @ 5.48% 2-3 @ 4.09% 0-3 @ 3.67% 1-4 @ 2.5% 2-4 @ 1.87% 0-4 @ 1.67% 3-4 @ 0.93% 1-5 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.85% Total : 45.61% |
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