SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charleroi win with a probability of 45.29%. A win for Mechelen had a probability of 30.98% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charleroi win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Mechelen win was 1-2 (7.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Charleroi | Draw | Mechelen |
| 45.29% | 23.72% | 30.98% |
| Both teams to score 60.63% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.81% | 41.19% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.41% | 63.58% |
| Charleroi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.54% | 18.45% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 50.36% | 49.63% |
| Mechelen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.35% | 25.65% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.45% | 60.54% |
| Score Analysis |
| Charleroi | Draw | Mechelen |
| 2-1 @ 9.2% 1-0 @ 8% 2-0 @ 6.76% 3-1 @ 5.18% 3-0 @ 3.81% 3-2 @ 3.53% 4-1 @ 2.19% 4-0 @ 1.61% 4-2 @ 1.49% Other @ 3.54% Total : 45.29% | 1-1 @ 10.88% 2-2 @ 6.26% 0-0 @ 4.73% 3-3 @ 1.6% Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.72% | 1-2 @ 7.4% 0-1 @ 6.44% 0-2 @ 4.38% 1-3 @ 3.36% 2-3 @ 2.84% 0-3 @ 1.99% 1-4 @ 1.14% 2-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.47% Total : 30.98% |
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