Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Standard Liege win with a probability of 57.78%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Royal Excel Mouscron had a probability of 19.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Standard Liege win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.92%) and 0-2 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.56%), while for a Royal Excel Mouscron win it was 1-0 (5.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.