SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 53.57%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for RWD Molenbeek had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.78%) and 0-2 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.14%), while for a RWD Molenbeek win it was 1-0 (6.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union SG would win this match.
| Result | ||
| RWD Molenbeek | Draw | Union SG |
22.9% ( 0.28) | 23.53% ( 0.05) | 53.57% ( -0.33) |
| Both teams to score 54.13% ( 0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.47% ( 0.1) | 46.53% ( -0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.2% ( 0.09) | 68.8% ( -0.09) |
| RWD Molenbeek Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.46% ( 0.31) | 34.54% ( -0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.74% ( 0.33) | 71.26% ( -0.33) |
| Union SG Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.7% ( -0.09) | 17.3% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.35% ( -0.15) | 47.65% ( 0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| RWD Molenbeek | Draw | Union SG |
| 1-0 @ 6.35% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 5.92% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 3.38% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 2.1% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 1.84% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 1.2% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.11% Total : 22.9% | 1-1 @ 11.14% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.98% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 5.2% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.52% | 0-1 @ 10.48% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 9.78% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 9.2% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 5.72% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 5.38% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 3.04% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 2.51% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 2.36% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 1.33% ( 0)Other @ 3.78% Total : 53.57% |
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