SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 64.34%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Charleroi had a probability of 15.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.09%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.41%), while for a Charleroi win it was 0-1 (4.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Genk | Draw | Charleroi |
64.34% ( 1.1) | 19.97% ( -0.37) | 15.68% ( -0.73) |
| Both teams to score 53.24% ( -0.41) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.5% ( 0.28) | 41.49% ( -0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.11% ( 0.28) | 63.89% ( -0.28) |
| Genk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.81% ( 0.39) | 12.19% ( -0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.16% ( 0.82) | 37.83% ( -0.82) |
| Charleroi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.63% ( -0.75) | 39.37% ( 0.75) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.93% ( -0.7) | 76.07% ( 0.7) |
| Score Analysis |
| Genk | Draw | Charleroi |
| 2-0 @ 10.62% ( 0.18) 1-0 @ 10.09% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 9.91% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 7.46% ( 0.24)3-1 @ 6.95% ( 0.09)4-0 @ 3.92% ( 0.19)4-1 @ 3.66% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 3.24% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.71% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.65% ( 0.1)5-1 @ 1.54% ( 0.07)Other @ 3.58% Total : 64.33% | 1-1 @ 9.41% ( -0.17) 0-0 @ 4.8% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 4.62% ( -0.11)3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.13% Total : 19.97% | 0-1 @ 4.47% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 4.39% ( -0.17)0-2 @ 2.08% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.08)Other @ 1.94% Total : 15.68% |
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