SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Anderlecht win with a probability of 53.99%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Charleroi had a probability of 22.41%.
The most likely scoreline for an Anderlecht win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 2-0 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.2%), while for a Charleroi win it was 0-1 (6.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Anderlecht would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Anderlecht | Draw | Charleroi |
53.99% ( -0.13) | 23.6% ( 0.04) | 22.41% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 53.28% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.63% ( -0.05) | 47.36% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.41% ( -0.04) | 69.58% ( 0.05) |
| Anderlecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.54% ( -0.06) | 17.45% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.07% ( -0.12) | 47.92% ( 0.12) |
| Charleroi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.54% ( 0.06) | 35.45% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.78% ( 0.07) | 72.22% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Anderlecht | Draw | Charleroi |
| 1-0 @ 10.8% 2-1 @ 9.78% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 9.43% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 5.69% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 5.49% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.95% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.48% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.39% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.29% ( -0)Other @ 3.69% Total : 53.99% | 1-1 @ 11.2% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.19% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.07% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.6% | 0-1 @ 6.42% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5.81% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 3.33% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.75% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.95% Total : 22.41% |
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