SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charleroi win with a probability of 40.77%. A win for Sint-Truiden had a probability of 32.02% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charleroi win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Sint-Truiden win was 0-1 (9.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Charleroi | Draw | Sint-Truiden |
40.77% ( -0.95) | 27.21% ( 0.57) | 32.02% ( 0.37) |
| Both teams to score 49.55% ( -1.64) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.23% ( -2.15) | 55.77% ( 2.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.1% ( -1.78) | 76.9% ( 1.78) |
| Charleroi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.13% ( -1.49) | 26.87% ( 1.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.82% ( -2) | 62.18% ( 1.99) |
| Sint-Truiden Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.76% ( -0.84) | 32.24% ( 0.84) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.27% ( -0.97) | 68.73% ( 0.97) |
| Score Analysis |
| Charleroi | Draw | Sint-Truiden |
| 1-0 @ 11.38% ( 0.46) 2-1 @ 8.47% ( -0.21)2-0 @ 7.48% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.71% ( -0.26)3-0 @ 3.28% ( -0.15)3-2 @ 2.1% ( -0.2)4-1 @ 1.22% ( -0.14)4-0 @ 1.08% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.05% Total : 40.77% | 1-1 @ 12.88% ( 0.23) 0-0 @ 8.66% ( 0.69)2-2 @ 4.79% ( -0.23)Other @ 0.87% Total : 27.2% | 0-1 @ 9.81% ( 0.57) 1-2 @ 7.29% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 5.55% ( 0.2)1-3 @ 2.75% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 2.09% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.13)Other @ 2.72% Total : 32.02% |
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