SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gent win with a probability of 43.51%. A win for Sint-Truiden had a probability of 30.42% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gent win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.94%) and 0-2 (7.7%). The likeliest Sint-Truiden win was 1-0 (8.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gent would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sint-Truiden | Draw | Gent |
30.42% ( 0.27) | 26.07% ( 0.09) | 43.51% ( -0.36) |
| Both teams to score 52.44% ( -0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.22% ( -0.28) | 51.78% ( 0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.46% ( -0.25) | 73.54% ( 0.24) |
| Sint-Truiden Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.68% ( 0.04) | 31.32% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.32% ( 0.05) | 67.68% ( -0.05) |
| Gent Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.34% ( -0.3) | 23.66% ( 0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.24% ( -0.43) | 57.76% ( 0.43) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sint-Truiden | Draw | Gent |
| 1-0 @ 8.6% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 7.2% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 4.99% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 2.79% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.01% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.93% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.9% Total : 30.42% | 1-1 @ 12.39% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.41% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 5.19% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.06% | 0-1 @ 10.67% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.94% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 7.7% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 4.3% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 3.7% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 2.49% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.55% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1.33% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.83% Total : 43.5% |
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