SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Brugge win with a probability of 77.55%. A draw had a probability of 14% and a win for Leuven had a probability of 8.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Brugge win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.95%) and 2-1 (8.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.5%), while for a Leuven win it was 1-2 (2.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club Brugge would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Club Brugge | Draw | Leuven |
77.55% ( -0.06) | 13.97% ( 0.03) | 8.47% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 51.24% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.94% ( -0.02) | 32.06% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.37% ( -0.03) | 53.63% ( 0.03) |
| Club Brugge Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.31% ( -0.02) | 6.69% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 75.22% ( -0.05) | 24.77% ( 0.05) |
| Leuven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.91% ( 0.06) | 45.09% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.99% ( 0.05) | 81% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Club Brugge | Draw | Leuven |
| 2-0 @ 11.03% 3-0 @ 9.95% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 8.79% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 8.16% ( 0)3-1 @ 7.92% 4-0 @ 6.73% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 5.36% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 3.64% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.16% ( 0)5-1 @ 2.9% ( -0)4-2 @ 2.13% ( 0)6-0 @ 1.64% ( -0.01)6-1 @ 1.31% ( -0)5-2 @ 1.15% ( -0)Other @ 3.7% Total : 77.55% | 1-1 @ 6.5% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.5% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 3.02% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.96% Total : 13.97% | 1-2 @ 2.59% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 2.4% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 0.96% ( 0)2-3 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 1.6% Total : 8.47% |
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