SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 58.81%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Leuven had a probability of 20.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.4%) and 0-1 (7.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.33%), while for a Leuven win it was 2-1 (5.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Leuven | Draw | Genk |
20.51% ( -0.25) | 20.68% ( -0.07) | 58.81% ( 0.33) |
| Both teams to score 60.49% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.47% ( -0) | 36.53% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.32% ( -0) | 58.68% ( 0.01) |
| Leuven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.9% ( -0.23) | 31.1% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.58% ( -0.28) | 67.42% ( 0.28) |
| Genk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.79% ( 0.09) | 12.21% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.11% ( 0.19) | 37.89% ( -0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Leuven | Draw | Genk |
| 2-1 @ 5.45% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 4.44% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 2.59% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.23% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 2.12% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 1.01% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.68% Total : 20.51% | 1-1 @ 9.33% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.73% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 3.8% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.27% Total : 20.68% | 1-2 @ 9.81% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 8.4% ( 0.06)0-1 @ 7.99% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 6.87% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 5.89% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 4.01% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 3.61% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 3.09% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 2.11% ( 0)1-5 @ 1.52% ( 0.02)0-5 @ 1.3% ( 0.02)Other @ 4.21% Total : 58.81% |
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