SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 55.42%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Leuven had a probability of 22.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.67%) and 0-2 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.57%), while for a Leuven win it was 2-1 (5.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union SG would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Leuven | Draw | Union SG |
22.03% ( 0.14) | 22.55% ( 0.11) | 55.42% ( -0.25) |
| Both teams to score 56.22% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.79% ( -0.31) | 43.2% ( 0.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.39% ( -0.3) | 65.6% ( 0.3) |
| Leuven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.51% ( -0.04) | 33.48% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.87% ( -0.04) | 70.12% ( 0.04) |
| Union SG Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.53% ( -0.19) | 15.46% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.66% ( -0.36) | 44.33% ( 0.35) |
| Score Analysis |
| Leuven | Draw | Union SG |
| 2-1 @ 5.79% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 5.67% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 3.1% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 2.11% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.97% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.13% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.27% Total : 22.03% | 1-1 @ 10.57% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.4% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.18% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.54% | 1-2 @ 9.87% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 9.67% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 9.02% ( 0)1-3 @ 6.14% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 5.61% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 3.36% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 2.87% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 2.62% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.57% ( -0.02)1-5 @ 1.07% ( -0.02)0-5 @ 0.98% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.65% Total : 55.42% |
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