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Belgian Pro League | Gameweek 28
Mar 2, 2024 at 5.15pm UK
King Power at Den Dreef Stadion

Leuven
0 - 2
Union SG


Dagur Thorsteinsson (6'), Maertens (24'), Misao (79')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Sykes (28'), Terho (74')
Burgess (24'), Sykes (40'), Teklab (52')
Coverage of the Belgian Pro League clash between Leuven and Union SG.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: RWDM 1-1 Leuven
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Union SG 2-1 Standard Liege
Sunday, February 25 at 5.30pm in Belgian Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 55.42%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Leuven had a probability of 22.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.67%) and 0-2 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.57%), while for a Leuven win it was 2-1 (5.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union SG would win this match.

Result
LeuvenDrawUnion SG
22.03% (0.144 0.14) 22.55% (0.107 0.11) 55.42% (-0.253 -0.25)
Both teams to score 56.22% (-0.157 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.79% (-0.30500000000001 -0.31)43.2% (0.303 0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.39% (-0.302 -0.3)65.6% (0.29899999999999 0.3)
Leuven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.51% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)33.48% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.87% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)70.12% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Union SG Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.53% (-0.19200000000001 -0.19)15.46% (0.19 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.66% (-0.35700000000001 -0.36)44.33% (0.354 0.35)
Score Analysis
    Leuven 22.03%
    Union SG 55.42%
    Draw 22.54%
LeuvenDrawUnion SG
2-1 @ 5.79% (0.028 0.03)
1-0 @ 5.67% (0.07 0.07)
2-0 @ 3.1% (0.035 0.04)
3-1 @ 2.11% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.97% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 1.13% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 22.03%
1-1 @ 10.57% (0.06 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.4% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.18% (0.069 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.23% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 22.54%
1-2 @ 9.87% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
0-1 @ 9.67% (0.065 0.06)
0-2 @ 9.02% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-3 @ 6.14% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-3 @ 5.61% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-3 @ 3.36% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-4 @ 2.87% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-4 @ 2.62% (-0.035 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.57% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-5 @ 1.07% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-5 @ 0.98% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 55.42%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: RWDM 1-1 Leuven
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Leuven 0-0 Charleroi
Saturday, February 17 at 5.15pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Standard Liege 1-0 Leuven
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Westerlo 0-3 Leuven
Saturday, February 3 at 5.15pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Leuven 2-1 Genk
Wednesday, January 31 at 5.45pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Kortrijk 0-0 Leuven
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Union SG 2-1 Standard Liege
Sunday, February 25 at 5.30pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Frankfurt 1-2 Union SG
Thursday, February 22 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Kortrijk 1-3 Union SG
Sunday, February 18 at 3pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Union SG 2-2 Frankfurt
Thursday, February 15 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Union SG 2-2 Westerlo
Saturday, February 10 at 5.15pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Genk 0-1 Union SG
Saturday, February 3 at 7.45pm in Belgian Pro League


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