Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Brugge win with a probability of 39.95%. A win for Genk had a probability of 36.29% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Brugge win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.08%) and 0-2 (5.67%). The likeliest Genk win was 2-1 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club Brugge would win this match.
Result | ||
Genk | Draw | Club Brugge |
36.29% ( -1.49) | 23.75% ( 0.23) | 39.95% ( 1.26) |
Both teams to score 62.32% ( -1.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.28% ( -1.27) | 39.72% ( 1.27) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.92% ( -1.33) | 62.07% ( 1.33) |
Genk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.05% ( -1.32) | 21.94% ( 1.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.78% ( -2.03) | 55.22% ( 2.02) |
Club Brugge Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.84% ( 0.03) | 20.16% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.55% ( 0.06) | 52.44% ( -0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Genk | Draw | Club Brugge |
2-1 @ 8.15% ( -0.15) 1-0 @ 6.71% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 5.09% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 4.12% ( -0.25) 3-2 @ 3.3% ( -0.2) 3-0 @ 2.57% ( -0.16) 4-1 @ 1.56% ( -0.16) 4-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.13) 4-0 @ 0.98% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.57% Total : 36.29% | 1-1 @ 10.74% ( 0.22) 2-2 @ 6.53% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 4.42% ( 0.26) 3-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.74% | 1-2 @ 8.6% ( 0.19) 0-1 @ 7.08% ( 0.42) 0-2 @ 5.67% ( 0.34) 1-3 @ 4.59% ( 0.11) 2-3 @ 3.48% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 3.03% ( 0.19) 1-4 @ 1.84% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 1.4% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.21% ( 0.08) Other @ 3.04% Total : 39.95% |
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