SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Standard Liege win with a probability of 50.54%. A win for Leuven had a probability of 25.95% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Standard Liege win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.2%) and 2-0 (8.08%). The likeliest Leuven win was 1-2 (6.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Standard Liege would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Standard Liege | Draw | Leuven |
50.54% ( 0.13) | 23.5% ( -0.01) | 25.95% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 57.62% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.5% ( -0.04) | 43.5% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.11% ( -0.04) | 65.89% ( 0.04) |
| Standard Liege Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.7% ( 0.03) | 17.3% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.36% ( 0.05) | 47.64% ( -0.05) |
| Leuven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.67% ( -0.11) | 30.33% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.49% ( -0.13) | 66.51% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Standard Liege | Draw | Leuven |
| 2-1 @ 9.64% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.2% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 8.08% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 5.64% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.72% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.36% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.47% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.07% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.48% Other @ 3.89% Total : 50.54% | 1-1 @ 10.98% 2-2 @ 5.75% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.25% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.5% | 1-2 @ 6.55% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 6.26% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.73% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.61% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.04% Total : 25.95% |
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