SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sint-Truiden win with a probability of 39.83%. A win for Dender had a probability of 35.16% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sint-Truiden win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.57%) and 2-0 (6.32%). The likeliest Dender win was 1-2 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sint-Truiden | Draw | Dender |
39.83% ( -2.67) | 25.01% ( 0.38) | 35.16% ( 2.29) |
| Both teams to score 57.54% ( -0.71) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.14% ( -1.18) | 45.85% ( 1.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.83% ( -1.13) | 68.17% ( 1.13) |
| Sint-Truiden Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.12% ( -1.79) | 22.88% ( 1.79) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.37% ( -2.71) | 56.62% ( 2.71) |
| Dender Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.61% ( 0.79) | 25.38% ( -0.8) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.81% ( 1.07) | 60.18% ( -1.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sint-Truiden | Draw | Dender |
| 2-1 @ 8.66% ( -0.3) 1-0 @ 8.57% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 6.32% ( -0.37)3-1 @ 4.26% ( -0.39)3-0 @ 3.11% ( -0.36)3-2 @ 2.92% ( -0.2)4-1 @ 1.57% ( -0.24)4-0 @ 1.15% ( -0.21)4-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.14)Other @ 2.21% Total : 39.83% | 1-1 @ 11.74% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 5.94% ( -0.07)0-0 @ 5.81% ( 0.29)3-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.18% Total : 25% | 1-2 @ 8.05% ( 0.33) 0-1 @ 7.96% ( 0.56)0-2 @ 5.46% ( 0.5)1-3 @ 3.68% ( 0.23)2-3 @ 2.71% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.28)1-4 @ 1.26% ( 0.11)2-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.61% Total : 35.16% |
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