SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Anderlecht win with a probability of 45.65%. A win for Genk had a probability of 31.1% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Anderlecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.43%) and 2-0 (6.5%). The likeliest Genk win was 1-2 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Anderlecht | Draw | Genk |
45.65% ( 0.39) | 23.25% ( -0.29) | 31.1% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 62.42% ( 0.98) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.13% ( 1.32) | 38.87% ( -1.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.82% ( 1.37) | 61.18% ( -1.38) |
| Anderlecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.61% ( 0.67) | 17.39% ( -0.67) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.19% ( 1.17) | 47.81% ( -1.17) |
| Genk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.56% ( 0.58) | 24.44% ( -0.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.13% ( 0.81) | 58.87% ( -0.82) |
| Score Analysis |
| Anderlecht | Draw | Genk |
| 2-1 @ 9.16% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.43% ( -0.3)2-0 @ 6.5% ( -0.12)3-1 @ 5.34% ( 0.11)3-0 @ 3.79% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.76% ( 0.14)4-1 @ 2.34% ( 0.1)4-0 @ 1.66% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.65% ( 0.1)Other @ 4.02% Total : 45.65% | 1-1 @ 10.47% ( -0.24) 2-2 @ 6.46% ( 0.1)0-0 @ 4.25% ( -0.27)3-3 @ 1.77% ( 0.1)Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.24% | 1-2 @ 7.38% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 5.99% ( -0.27)0-2 @ 4.22% ( -0.12)1-3 @ 3.47% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 3.03% ( 0.1)0-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.22% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 1.07% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.74% Total : 31.1% |
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