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Belgian Pro League | Gameweek 4
Aug 17, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
AFAS-stadion Achter de Kazerne
A

Mechelen
1 - 3
Anderlecht

Lauberbach (23')
Hasi (37'), Raemaekers (46')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Augustinsson (42'), Amuzu (45+5'), Leoni (90')
Amuzu (36'), Simic (78')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Standard Liege 0-0 Mechelen
Friday, August 9 at 7.45pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Anderlecht 1-1 Leuven
Saturday, August 10 at 7.45pm in Belgian Pro League

We said: Mechelen 1-2 Anderlecht

Mechelen have stumbled into the new campaign and will need to be at their best this weekend as they take on an Anderlecht side who have hit the ground running. Riemer's men have enjoyed the better of this fixture in recent years and we predict that their quality will hand them all three points this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mechelen win with a probability of 39.07%. A win for Anderlecht had a probability of 37.26% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mechelen win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.88%) and 2-0 (5.48%). The likeliest Anderlecht win was 1-2 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Anderlecht would win this match.

Result
MechelenDrawAnderlecht
39.07% (-1.337 -1.34) 23.67% (0.061 0.06) 37.26% (1.273 1.27)
Both teams to score 62.73% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.77% (-0.175 -0.18)39.23% (0.173 0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.43% (-0.186 -0.19)61.57% (0.183 0.18)
Mechelen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.63% (-0.693 -0.69)20.36% (0.69 0.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.23% (-1.11 -1.11)52.77% (1.109 1.11)
Anderlecht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.77% (0.563 0.56)21.23% (-0.565 -0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.86% (0.867 0.87)54.13% (-0.87 -0.87)
Score Analysis
    Mechelen 39.07%
    Anderlecht 37.26%
    Draw 23.67%
MechelenDrawAnderlecht
2-1 @ 8.49% (-0.15 -0.15)
1-0 @ 6.88% (-0.092000000000001 -0.09)
2-0 @ 5.48% (-0.193 -0.19)
3-1 @ 4.5% (-0.179 -0.18)
3-2 @ 3.49% (-0.077 -0.08)
3-0 @ 2.91% (-0.167 -0.17)
4-1 @ 1.79% (-0.111 -0.11)
4-2 @ 1.39% (-0.061 -0.06)
4-0 @ 1.16% (-0.093 -0.09)
Other @ 3%
Total : 39.07%
1-1 @ 10.66% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-2 @ 6.57% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 4.32% (0.035 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.8% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.67%
1-2 @ 8.26% (0.172 0.17)
0-1 @ 6.7% (0.167 0.17)
0-2 @ 5.19% (0.215 0.22)
1-3 @ 4.27% (0.16 0.16)
2-3 @ 3.4% (0.056 0.06)
0-3 @ 2.68% (0.155 0.16)
1-4 @ 1.65% (0.088 0.09)
2-4 @ 1.32% (0.044 0.04)
0-4 @ 1.04% (0.077 0.08)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 37.26%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Standard Liege 0-0 Mechelen
Friday, August 9 at 7.45pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Mechelen 2-4 Westerlo
Saturday, August 3 at 3pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Brugge 1-1 Mechelen
Friday, July 26 at 7.45pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Olympiacos 2-0 Mechelen
Saturday, July 20 at 2pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Heist 0-1 Mechelen
Wednesday, July 17 at 6.30pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Mechelen 3-2 Standard Liege
Saturday, May 25 at 7.30pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Anderlecht 1-1 Leuven
Saturday, August 10 at 7.45pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Antwerp 1-2 Anderlecht
Sunday, August 4 at 12.30pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Anderlecht 1-0 Sint-Truiden
Saturday, July 27 at 7.45pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Anderlecht 6-2 Amiens
Sunday, July 21 at 10am in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Anderlecht 2-1 Wolfsburg
Saturday, July 20 at 12.30pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Braga 2-1 Anderlecht
Sunday, July 14 at 11am in Club Friendlies 3


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