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Belgian Pro League | Gameweek 12
Oct 28, 2023 at 5.15pm UK
Stadion am Kehrweg

Eupen
2 - 0
Charleroi

Kral (45'), Mohwald (54')
Keita (12'), Paeshuyse (89'), Magnee (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Knezevic (26'), Monticelli (76')
Coverage of the Belgian Pro League clash between Eupen and Charleroi.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Union SG 4-1 Eupen
Friday, October 20 at 7.45pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Charleroi 3-2 Antwerp
Saturday, October 21 at 7.45pm in Belgian Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charleroi win with a probability of 46.48%. A win for Eupen had a probability of 29.81% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Charleroi win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.27%) and 0-2 (7.05%). The likeliest Eupen win was 2-1 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.

Result
EupenDrawCharleroi
29.81% (-0.411 -0.41) 23.71% (-0.119 -0.12) 46.48% (0.528 0.53)
Both teams to score 59.97% (0.161 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.23% (0.323 0.32)41.76% (-0.326 -0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.83% (0.325 0.33)64.17% (-0.328 -0.33)
Eupen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.31% (-0.111 -0.11)26.68% (0.107 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.06% (-0.144 -0.14)61.94% (0.142 0.14)
Charleroi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.8% (0.34 0.34)18.2% (-0.342 -0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.79% (0.577 0.58)49.21% (-0.58 -0.58)
Score Analysis
    Eupen 29.81%
    Charleroi 46.48%
    Draw 23.71%
EupenDrawCharleroi
2-1 @ 7.22% (-0.07 -0.07)
1-0 @ 6.42% (-0.114 -0.11)
2-0 @ 4.24% (-0.089 -0.09)
3-1 @ 3.18% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.71% (-0.004 -0)
3-0 @ 1.87% (-0.045 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.05% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 29.81%
1-1 @ 10.93% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-2 @ 6.15% (0.008 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.86% (-0.072 -0.07)
3-3 @ 1.54% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.71%
1-2 @ 9.31% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-1 @ 8.27% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-2 @ 7.05% (0.052 0.05)
1-3 @ 5.29% (0.081 0.08)
0-3 @ 4% (0.073 0.07)
2-3 @ 3.49% (0.042 0.04)
1-4 @ 2.25% (0.059 0.06)
0-4 @ 1.71% (0.049 0.05)
2-4 @ 1.49% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 46.48%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Union SG 4-1 Eupen
Friday, October 20 at 7.45pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Antwerp 4-1 Eupen
Sunday, October 8 at 3pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Eupen 1-3 Anderlecht
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Gent 2-1 Eupen
Sunday, September 24 at 6.15pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Eupen 1-3 Standard Liege
Sunday, September 17 at 12.30pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Mechelen 1-0 Eupen
Saturday, September 2 at 5.15pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Charleroi 3-2 Antwerp
Saturday, October 21 at 7.45pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Charleroi 2-1 RWDM
Friday, October 6 at 7.45pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Union SG 3-1 Charleroi
Sunday, October 1 at 12.30pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Charleroi 1-0 Kortrijk
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Brugge 4-2 Charleroi
Saturday, September 16 at 7.45pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Charleroi 1-1 Sint-Truiden
Sunday, September 3 at 6.15pm in Belgian Pro League


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