SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mechelen win with a probability of 43.09%. A win for Eupen had a probability of 31.53% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mechelen win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Eupen win was 0-1 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Mechelen in this match.
| Result | ||
| Mechelen | Draw | Eupen |
43.09% ( -0.06) | 25.38% ( -0.01) | 31.53% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 55.18% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.55% ( 0.08) | 48.45% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.42% ( 0.07) | 70.58% ( -0.07) |
| Mechelen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.58% ( 0) | 22.42% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.06% ( 0.01) | 55.94% ( -0.01) |
| Eupen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.12% ( 0.09) | 28.88% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.26% ( 0.11) | 64.74% ( -0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mechelen | Draw | Eupen |
| 1-0 @ 9.68% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.99% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.24% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.48% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.61% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.78% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.68% 4-0 @ 1.35% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.04% ( 0)Other @ 2.25% Total : 43.09% | 1-1 @ 12.02% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.47% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.58% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.15% ( 0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.37% | 0-1 @ 8.04% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.47% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.99% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.09% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.07% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.59% Total : 31.53% |
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