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Belgian Pro League | Gameweek 11
Oct 20, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Joseph Marien

Union SG
4 - 1
Eupen

Nilsson (27'), Rasmussen (31'), El Amine Amoura (68'), Kabangu (82')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Palsson (81')
Mohwald (63'), Bitumazala (85')
Bitumazala (90')
Coverage of the Belgian Pro League clash between Union SG and Eupen.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sint-Truiden 0-4 Union SG
Sunday, October 8 at 6.15pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Antwerp 4-1 Eupen
Sunday, October 8 at 3pm in Belgian Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 73.93%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for Eupen had a probability of 9.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.99%) and 3-0 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.66%), while for a Eupen win it was 0-1 (3.16%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union SG would win this match.

Result
Union SGDrawEupen
73.93% (0.0010000000000048 0) 16.16% (-0.00099999999999767 -0) 9.91% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Both teams to score 48.79% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.76% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)38.24% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.48% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)60.52% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Union SG Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.12% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)8.88% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.61% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)30.39% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Eupen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.55% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)46.45% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.93% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)82.07% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Score Analysis
    Union SG 73.92%
    Eupen 9.91%
    Draw 16.16%
Union SGDrawEupen
2-0 @ 12.09%
1-0 @ 9.99% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-0 @ 9.76% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-1 @ 9.27% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 7.48% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 5.91% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 4.53% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 2.87% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 2.86%
5-1 @ 2.19% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.74% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
6-0 @ 1.15%
Other @ 4.08%
Total : 73.92%
1-1 @ 7.66%
0-0 @ 4.13% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 3.56% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 16.16%
0-1 @ 3.16% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-2 @ 2.94%
0-2 @ 1.21%
2-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 9.91%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Sint-Truiden 0-4 Union SG
Sunday, October 8 at 6.15pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Liverpool 2-0 Union SG
Thursday, October 5 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Union SG 3-1 Charleroi
Sunday, October 1 at 12.30pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: RWDM 2-3 Union SG
Thursday, September 28 at 5.30pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Cercle Brugge 0-2 Union SG
Sunday, September 24 at 3pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Union SG 1-1 Toulouse
Thursday, September 21 at 5.55pm in Europa League
Last Game: Antwerp 4-1 Eupen
Sunday, October 8 at 3pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Eupen 1-3 Anderlecht
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Gent 2-1 Eupen
Sunday, September 24 at 6.15pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Eupen 1-3 Standard Liege
Sunday, September 17 at 12.30pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Mechelen 1-0 Eupen
Saturday, September 2 at 5.15pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Eupen 3-1 Leuven
Saturday, August 26 at 5.15pm in Belgian Pro League


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