SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gent win with a probability of 55.18%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Eupen had a probability of 20.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gent win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.16%) and 1-2 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.35%), while for a Eupen win it was 1-0 (6.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gent would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Eupen | Draw | Gent |
20.95% ( 0.09) | 23.87% ( 0.15) | 55.18% ( -0.24) |
| Both teams to score 50.47% ( -0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.89% ( -0.48) | 50.1% ( 0.49) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.92% ( -0.43) | 72.07% ( 0.43) |
| Eupen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.57% ( -0.18) | 38.43% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.82% ( -0.17) | 75.18% ( 0.18) |
| Gent Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.97% ( -0.27) | 18.02% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.09% ( -0.46) | 48.91% ( 0.46) |
| Score Analysis |
| Eupen | Draw | Gent |
| 1-0 @ 6.62% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 5.43% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 3.17% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 1.73% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 1.01% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.51% Total : 20.95% | 1-1 @ 11.35% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 6.93% ( 0.14)2-2 @ 4.65% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.94% Total : 23.87% | 0-1 @ 11.86% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 10.16% ( 0.02)1-2 @ 9.72% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 5.81% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 5.55% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 2.66% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 2.49% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 2.38% ( -0.05)2-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.4% Total : 55.17% |
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