SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Kortrijk | 8 | -6 | 7 |
| 15 | Eupen | 8 | -7 | 6 |
| 16 | RFC Seraing | 9 | -10 | 6 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Standard Liege | 8 | -1 | 13 |
| 8 | Union SG | 8 | -1 | 13 |
| 9 | Charleroi | 9 | -1 | 12 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 51.98%. A win for Eupen had a probability of 24.19% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.7%) and 0-2 (8.85%). The likeliest Eupen win was 1-0 (6.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union SG would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Eupen | Draw | Union SG |
24.19% ( 0.33) | 23.83% ( 0.19) | 51.98% ( -0.52) |
| Both teams to score 54.68% ( -0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.47% ( -0.51) | 46.53% ( 0.51) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.19% ( -0.48) | 68.8% ( 0.48) |
| Eupen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.6% ( 0.01) | 33.4% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.97% ( 0.01) | 70.02% ( -0.01) |
| Union SG Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.11% ( -0.38) | 17.89% ( 0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.32% ( -0.66) | 48.68% ( 0.66) |
| Score Analysis |
| Eupen | Draw | Union SG |
| 1-0 @ 6.55% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 6.18% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 3.59% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 2.26% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.95% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.31% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.34% Total : 24.19% | 1-1 @ 11.27% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 5.98% ( 0.13)2-2 @ 5.32% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.82% | 0-1 @ 10.28% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 9.7% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 8.85% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 5.57% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 5.08% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 3.05% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 2.4% ( -0.07)0-4 @ 2.18% ( -0.06)2-4 @ 1.31% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.56% Total : 51.98% |
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