Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charleroi win with a probability of 48.6%. A win for Eupen had a probability of 27.57% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charleroi win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.73%). The likeliest Eupen win was 1-2 (6.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Charleroi would win this match.
Result | ||
Charleroi | Draw | Eupen |
48.6% ( -0.89) | 23.83% ( -0.02) | 27.57% ( 0.91) |
Both teams to score 57.93% ( 0.82) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.26% ( 0.74) | 43.74% ( -0.74) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.87% ( 0.72) | 66.13% ( -0.72) |
Charleroi Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.87% ( -0.06) | 18.13% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.91% ( -0.11) | 49.09% ( 0.11) |
Eupen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.76% ( 1.06) | 29.24% ( -1.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.81% ( 1.28) | 65.2% ( -1.28) |
Score Analysis |
Charleroi | Draw | Eupen |
2-1 @ 9.5% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 9.05% ( -0.31) 2-0 @ 7.73% ( -0.28) 3-1 @ 5.41% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 4.4% ( -0.17) 3-2 @ 3.33% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 2.31% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.88% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 1.42% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.57% Total : 48.6% | 1-1 @ 11.13% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.84% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 5.3% ( -0.17) 3-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.83% | 1-2 @ 6.84% ( 0.17) 0-1 @ 6.52% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.01% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 2.81% ( 0.15) 2-3 @ 2.4% ( 0.12) 0-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.09) Other @ 3.35% Total : 27.57% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups: