SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mechelen win with a probability of 49.01%. A win for Eupen had a probability of 27.01% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mechelen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.4%) and 0-2 (7.96%). The likeliest Eupen win was 2-1 (6.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mechelen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Eupen | Draw | Mechelen |
27.01% ( -0.31) | 23.97% ( -0.13) | 49.01% ( 0.44) |
| Both teams to score 56.98% ( 0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.21% ( 0.36) | 44.78% ( -0.36) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.85% ( 0.34) | 67.14% ( -0.35) |
| Eupen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.8% ( -0.05) | 30.19% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.65% ( -0.05) | 66.35% ( 0.05) |
| Mechelen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.62% ( 0.31) | 18.37% ( -0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.5% ( 0.52) | 49.5% ( -0.53) |
| Score Analysis |
| Eupen | Draw | Mechelen |
| 2-1 @ 6.74% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 6.64% ( -0.11)2-0 @ 3.98% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 2.69% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.28% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.59% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.1% Total : 27.01% | 1-1 @ 11.25% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 5.71% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 5.55% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.97% | 1-2 @ 9.54% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 9.4% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 7.96% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 5.39% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 4.5% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 3.23% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 2.28% ( 0.05)0-4 @ 1.91% ( 0.05)2-4 @ 1.37% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.45% Total : 49.01% |
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