Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sint-Truiden win with a probability of 39.93%. A win for Eupen had a probability of 33.61% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sint-Truiden win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (6.99%). The likeliest Eupen win was 1-0 (9.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sint-Truiden would win this match.
Result | ||
Eupen | Draw | Sint-Truiden |
33.61% ( -0.42) | 26.46% ( 0.05) | 39.93% ( 0.37) |
Both teams to score 52.34% ( -0.26) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.58% ( -0.29) | 52.42% ( 0.29) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.9% ( -0.25) | 74.1% ( 0.24) |
Eupen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.51% ( -0.41) | 29.49% ( 0.41) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.5% ( -0.5) | 65.49% ( 0.5) |
Sint-Truiden Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.22% ( 0.07) | 25.77% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.28% ( 0.09) | 60.72% ( -0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Eupen | Draw | Sint-Truiden |
1-0 @ 9.28% 2-1 @ 7.68% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 5.67% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 3.13% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 2.31% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.12% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 0.96% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.46% Total : 33.61% | 1-1 @ 12.58% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.6% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 5.21% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.45% | 0-1 @ 10.3% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 8.53% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 6.99% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 3.86% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 3.16% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.31% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.07% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.37% Total : 39.93% |
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