SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gent win with a probability of 50.23%. A win for Sint-Truiden had a probability of 25.32% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gent win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.57%) and 0-2 (8.71%). The likeliest Sint-Truiden win was 1-0 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sint-Truiden | Draw | Gent |
25.32% ( -0.14) | 24.45% ( 0.03) | 50.23% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 53.87% ( -0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.83% ( -0.24) | 48.17% ( 0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.68% ( -0.23) | 70.32% ( 0.22) |
| Sint-Truiden Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.67% ( -0.25) | 33.33% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.05% ( -0.27) | 69.95% ( 0.27) |
| Gent Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.8% ( -0.05) | 19.2% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.12% ( -0.08) | 50.88% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sint-Truiden | Draw | Gent |
| 1-0 @ 7.03% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 6.38% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 3.86% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.34% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.93% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 1.42% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.38% Total : 25.32% | 1-1 @ 11.6% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.4% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 5.26% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.45% | 0-1 @ 10.55% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 9.57% ( 0)0-2 @ 8.71% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 5.27% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 4.79% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.89% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 2.17% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.98% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.08% Total : 50.22% |
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