SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 63.26%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Westerlo had a probability of 17.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.41%) and 1-0 (8.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.02%), while for a Westerlo win it was 1-2 (4.73%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Genk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Genk | Draw | Westerlo |
63.26% ( -0.07) | 19.65% ( 0.02) | 17.09% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 57.67% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.76% ( -0.03) | 37.24% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.55% ( -0.03) | 59.45% ( 0.02) |
| Genk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.78% ( -0.03) | 11.22% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.24% ( -0.06) | 35.76% ( 0.06) |
| Westerlo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.95% ( 0.04) | 35.04% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.21% ( 0.04) | 71.79% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Genk | Draw | Westerlo |
| 2-1 @ 9.86% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.41% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 8.6% ( 0)3-1 @ 7.19% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 6.86% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 3.93% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.77% 4-0 @ 3.75% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 2.06% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.72% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.64% ( -0.01)5-2 @ 0.9% ( -0)Other @ 3.55% Total : 63.26% | 1-1 @ 9.02% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.17% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 3.93% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.32% ( 0)Other @ 0.21% Total : 19.65% | 1-2 @ 4.73% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.12% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.16% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.81% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.65% ( 0)Other @ 2.62% Total : 17.09% |
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