SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Union SG | 8 | -1 | 13 |
| 8 | Charleroi | 8 | 0 | 12 |
| 9 | Anderlecht | 8 | 3 | 10 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Sint-Truiden | 8 | -1 | 10 |
| 12 | Westerlo | 8 | -3 | 9 |
| 13 | KV Oostende | 8 | -3 | 9 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charleroi win with a probability of 43.5%. A win for Westerlo had a probability of 32.44% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charleroi win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.05%) and 2-0 (6.56%). The likeliest Westerlo win was 1-2 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Charleroi | Draw | Westerlo |
43.5% ( -0.55) | 24.05% ( -0.08) | 32.44% ( 0.63) |
| Both teams to score 60.15% ( 0.58) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.88% ( 0.64) | 42.12% ( -0.64) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.47% ( 0.65) | 64.52% ( -0.64) |
| Charleroi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.42% ( 0.03) | 19.58% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.49% ( 0.04) | 51.51% ( -0.04) |
| Westerlo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.79% ( 0.7) | 25.2% ( -0.7) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.06% ( 0.95) | 59.94% ( -0.95) |
| Score Analysis |
| Charleroi | Draw | Westerlo |
| 2-1 @ 9.04% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 8.05% ( -0.23)2-0 @ 6.56% ( -0.18)3-1 @ 4.92% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 3.57% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 3.39% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 2% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.45% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.38% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.15% Total : 43.5% | 1-1 @ 11.09% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 6.23% ( 0.08)0-0 @ 4.93% ( -0.14)3-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.05% | 1-2 @ 7.64% ( 0.09) 0-1 @ 6.8% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 4.69% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 3.51% ( 0.11)2-3 @ 2.86% ( 0.09)0-3 @ 2.15% ( 0.07)1-4 @ 1.21% ( 0.06)2-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.59% Total : 32.44% |
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