SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Leuven | 8 | 3 | 16 |
| 5 | Union SG | 7 | 0 | 13 |
| 6 | Standard Liege | 8 | -1 | 13 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Club Brugge | 8 | 12 | 19 |
| 3 | Genk | 7 | 11 | 16 |
| 4 | Leuven | 8 | 3 | 16 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 44.72%. A win for Union SG had a probability of 29.58% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.09%) and 0-2 (7.83%). The likeliest Union SG win was 1-0 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Genk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Union SG | Draw | Genk |
29.58% ( 1.09) | 25.7% ( 0.5) | 44.72% ( -1.58) |
| Both teams to score 53.15% ( -0.91) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.35% ( -1.5) | 50.65% ( 1.51) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.45% ( -1.34) | 72.55% ( 1.35) |
| Union SG Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.66% ( 0.03) | 31.34% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.3% ( 0.03) | 67.7% ( -0.02) |
| Genk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.41% ( -1.35) | 22.59% ( 1.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.8% ( -2.05) | 56.2% ( 2.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Union SG | Draw | Genk |
| 1-0 @ 8.22% ( 0.49) 2-1 @ 7.09% ( 0.15)2-0 @ 4.77% ( 0.29)3-1 @ 2.74% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 2.04% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 1.84% ( 0.11)Other @ 2.88% Total : 29.58% | 1-1 @ 12.22% ( 0.26) 0-0 @ 7.08% ( 0.42)2-2 @ 5.27% ( -0.1)3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.7% | 0-1 @ 10.53% ( 0.22) 1-2 @ 9.09% ( -0.18)0-2 @ 7.83% ( -0.16)1-3 @ 4.51% ( -0.28)0-3 @ 3.88% ( -0.25)2-3 @ 2.62% ( -0.16)1-4 @ 1.68% ( -0.18)0-4 @ 1.45% ( -0.15)2-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.17% Total : 44.72% |
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