Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 76.33%. A draw had a probability of 14.7% and a win for Kortrijk had a probability of 8.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.86%) and 2-1 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.87%), while for a Kortrijk win it was 1-2 (2.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Genk would win this match.
Result | ||
Genk | Draw | Kortrijk |
76.33% ( 0.14) | 14.67% ( -0.07) | 8.99% ( -0.06) |
Both teams to score 50.76% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.19% ( 0.18) | 33.81% ( -0.18) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.35% ( 0.2) | 55.64% ( -0.2) |
Genk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.68% ( 0.07) | 7.31% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
73.55% ( 0.18) | 26.44% ( -0.18) |
Kortrijk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.77% ( 0) | 45.23% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.88% ( 0) | 81.11% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Genk | Draw | Kortrijk |
2-0 @ 11.31% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 9.86% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.98% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.65% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 7.83% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 6.45% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 5.12% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 3.37% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.11% ( 0) 5-1 @ 2.68% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 2.03% ( 0.01) 6-0 @ 1.47% ( 0.02) 6-1 @ 1.17% ( 0.01) 5-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.25% Total : 76.33% | 1-1 @ 6.87% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 3.56% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.31% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.94% Total : 14.67% | 1-2 @ 2.72% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 2.63% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 1.66% Total : 8.99% |
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