SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 68.05%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Leuven had a probability of 14.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9%) and 1-3 (7.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.74%), while for a Leuven win it was 2-1 (4.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Genk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Leuven | Draw | Genk |
14.5% ( -0.48) | 17.45% ( -0.42) | 68.05% ( 0.9) |
| Both teams to score 59.61% ( 0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.12% ( 1) | 31.88% ( -0.99) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.58% ( 1.16) | 53.42% ( -1.16) |
| Leuven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.21% ( 0.04) | 34.78% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.48% ( 0.04) | 71.51% ( -0.04) |
| Genk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.41% ( 0.46) | 8.59% ( -0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 70.34% ( 1.12) | 29.66% ( -1.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Leuven | Draw | Genk |
| 2-1 @ 4.09% ( -0.12) 1-0 @ 3.15% ( -0.17)3-2 @ 1.77% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 1.67% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 1.44% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.39% Total : 14.5% | 1-1 @ 7.74% ( -0.24) 2-2 @ 5.02% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 2.99% ( -0.16)3-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.26% Total : 17.45% | 1-2 @ 9.5% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 9% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 7.78% ( 0.09)0-3 @ 7.37% ( 0.08)0-1 @ 7.33% ( -0.24)1-4 @ 4.77% ( 0.16)0-4 @ 4.52% ( 0.15)2-3 @ 4.11% ( 0.05)2-4 @ 2.52% ( 0.09)1-5 @ 2.34% ( 0.13)0-5 @ 2.22% ( 0.12)2-5 @ 1.24% ( 0.07)1-6 @ 0.96% ( 0.07)0-6 @ 0.91% ( 0.07)Other @ 3.48% Total : 68.05% |
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