SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gent win with a probability of 68.97%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Beerschot Wilrijk had a probability of 13.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gent win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 1-0 (7.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.84%), while for a Beerschot Wilrijk win it was 1-2 (3.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gent would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gent | Draw | Beerschot Wilrijk |
68.97% ( 0.06) | 17.34% ( -0.06) | 13.68% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 57.63% ( 0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.68% ( 0.32) | 33.31% ( -0.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.91% ( 0.36) | 55.08% ( -0.36) |
| Gent Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.24% ( 0.1) | 8.75% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.92% ( 0.23) | 30.07% ( -0.23) |
| Beerschot Wilrijk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.16% ( 0.22) | 36.83% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.37% ( 0.22) | 73.62% ( -0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gent | Draw | Beerschot Wilrijk |
| 2-0 @ 9.56% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 9.55% ( -0.02)1-0 @ 7.85% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 7.77% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 7.76% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 4.73% ( 0)4-1 @ 4.72% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.87% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 2.36% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 2.3% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 2.3% ( 0.03)5-2 @ 1.15% ( 0.02)6-0 @ 0.94% ( 0.01)6-1 @ 0.93% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.17% Total : 68.97% | 1-1 @ 7.84% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.77% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 3.22% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.22% Total : 17.34% | 1-2 @ 3.92% ( -0) 0-1 @ 3.22% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 1.61% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.59% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.04% Total : 13.68% |
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