SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mechelen win with a probability of 56.76%. A win for Beerschot Wilrijk had a probability of 22.49% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mechelen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.56%) and 1-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Beerschot Wilrijk win was 1-2 (5.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mechelen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mechelen | Draw | Beerschot Wilrijk |
56.76% ( 1.9) | 20.75% ( 0.13) | 22.49% ( -2.02) |
| Both teams to score 63.32% ( -3.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.83% ( -3.02) | 34.17% ( 3.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.94% ( -3.49) | 56.06% ( 3.5) |
| Mechelen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.96% ( -0.45) | 12.04% ( 0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.47% ( -0.96) | 37.52% ( 0.97) |
| Beerschot Wilrijk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.99% ( -3.24) | 28.01% ( 3.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.34% ( -4.32) | 63.65% ( 4.32) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mechelen | Draw | Beerschot Wilrijk |
| 2-1 @ 9.62% ( 0.31) 2-0 @ 7.56% ( 0.89)1-0 @ 7.14% ( 0.95)3-1 @ 6.79% ( 0.1)3-0 @ 5.33% ( 0.54)3-2 @ 4.32% ( -0.35)4-1 @ 3.59% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.82% ( 0.24)4-2 @ 2.29% ( -0.23)5-1 @ 1.52% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 1.2% ( 0.08)4-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.2)5-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.12)Other @ 2.66% Total : 56.76% | 1-1 @ 9.08% ( 0.45) 2-2 @ 6.12% ( -0.37)0-0 @ 3.37% ( 0.5)3-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.34)Other @ 0.34% Total : 20.75% | 1-2 @ 5.78% ( -0.24) 0-1 @ 4.29% ( 0.29)0-2 @ 2.73% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 2.6% ( -0.42)1-3 @ 2.45% ( -0.35)0-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.14)Other @ 3.48% Total : 22.49% |
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