Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gent win with a probability of 67.04%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Backa Topola had a probability of 14.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gent win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.69%) and 1-0 (8.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.33%), while for a Backa Topola win it was 1-2 (4.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gent would win this match.