SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugano win with a probability of 49.55%. A win for Gent had a probability of 26.4% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lugano win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest Gent win was 0-1 (6.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lugano would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lugano | Draw | Gent |
49.55% ( -0.07) | 24.05% ( 0.02) | 26.4% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 56.19% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.42% ( -0.08) | 45.57% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.1% ( -0.08) | 67.9% ( 0.07) |
| Lugano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.53% ( -0.06) | 18.46% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.34% ( -0.1) | 49.65% ( 0.09) |
| Gent Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.91% ( -0.01) | 31.08% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.6% ( -0.01) | 67.39% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lugano | Draw | Gent |
| 1-0 @ 9.69% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.57% ( -0)2-0 @ 8.19% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.39% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.61% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.15% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.28% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.95% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.33% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.39% Total : 49.55% | 1-1 @ 11.32% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.74% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.59% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.04% | 0-1 @ 6.71% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.62% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.92% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.58% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.18% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.53% ( 0)Other @ 2.87% Total : 26.4% |
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