Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 50.19%. A win for Gent had a probability of 29.1% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.2%) and 2-0 (5.36%). The likeliest Gent win was 1-2 (6.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.04%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hoffenheim would win this match.