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HL
Europa League | Group Stage
Dec 10, 2020 at 8pm UK
PreZero Arena
G

Hoffenheim
4 - 1
Gent

Beier (21', 49'), Skov (26'), Kramaric (64')
John (44'), Amade (90+3')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Fortuna (81')
Bezus (72')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 50.19%. A win for Gent had a probability of 29.1% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.2%) and 2-0 (5.36%). The likeliest Gent win was 1-2 (6.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.04%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hoffenheim would win this match.

Result
HoffenheimDrawGent
50.19%20.71%29.1%
Both teams to score 70.79%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.56%27.44%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
51.96%48.04%
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.37%11.63%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.35%36.65%
Gent Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.1%19.9%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.98%52.02%
Score Analysis
    Hoffenheim 50.19%
    Gent 29.1%
    Draw 20.71%
HoffenheimDrawGent
2-1 @ 8.65%
3-1 @ 6.2%
2-0 @ 5.36%
3-2 @ 5.01%
1-0 @ 4.98%
3-0 @ 3.84%
4-1 @ 3.34%
4-2 @ 2.69%
4-0 @ 2.07%
4-3 @ 1.45%
5-1 @ 1.44%
5-2 @ 1.16%
Other @ 4.02%
Total : 50.19%
1-1 @ 8.04%
2-2 @ 6.98%
3-3 @ 2.7%
0-0 @ 2.31%
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 20.71%
1-2 @ 6.49%
2-3 @ 3.76%
0-1 @ 3.74%
1-3 @ 3.49%
0-2 @ 3.02%
0-3 @ 1.62%
2-4 @ 1.52%
1-4 @ 1.41%
3-4 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 29.1%

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