SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gent win with a probability of 65.8%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Standard Liege had a probability of 14.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gent win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.89%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.39%), while for a Standard Liege win it was 0-1 (4.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gent would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gent | Draw | Standard Liege |
65.8% ( 1.31) | 19.79% ( -0.56) | 14.41% ( -0.75) |
| Both teams to score 50.66% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.69% ( 0.94) | 43.31% ( -0.95) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.29% ( 0.92) | 65.71% ( -0.93) |
| Gent Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.67% ( 0.65) | 12.32% ( -0.66) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.88% ( 1.36) | 38.12% ( -1.37) |
| Standard Liege Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.78% ( -0.46) | 42.22% ( 0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.37% ( -0.4) | 78.62% ( 0.39) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gent | Draw | Standard Liege |
| 2-0 @ 11.4% ( 0.1) 1-0 @ 10.89% ( -0.17)2-1 @ 9.83% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 7.96% ( 0.27)3-1 @ 6.86% ( 0.15)4-0 @ 4.17% ( 0.24)4-1 @ 3.59% ( 0.17)3-2 @ 2.96% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 1.75% ( 0.14)4-2 @ 1.55% ( 0.05)5-1 @ 1.5% ( 0.11)Other @ 3.34% Total : 65.8% | 1-1 @ 9.39% ( -0.27) 0-0 @ 5.2% ( -0.22)2-2 @ 4.24% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.95% Total : 19.79% | 0-1 @ 4.49% ( -0.25) 1-2 @ 4.05% ( -0.17)0-2 @ 1.93% ( -0.13)2-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.06)Other @ 1.56% Total : 14.41% |
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