Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gent win with a probability of 61.33%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Cercle Brugge had a probability of 17.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gent win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.5%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.06%), while for a Cercle Brugge win it was 0-1 (5.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
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