SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leuven win with a probability of 41.21%. A win for Standard Liege had a probability of 35.21% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leuven win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.06%) and 2-0 (5.8%). The likeliest Standard Liege win was 1-2 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leuven would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Leuven | Draw | Standard Liege |
41.21% ( 0) | 23.58% ( 0) | 35.21% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 62.76% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.92% ( -0.01) | 39.08% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.6% ( -0.01) | 61.4% ( 0.01) |
| Leuven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.68% ( -0) | 19.32% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.91% ( -0.01) | 51.09% ( 0) |
| Standard Liege Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.78% ( -0) | 22.22% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.36% ( -0.01) | 55.64% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Leuven | Draw | Standard Liege |
| 2-1 @ 8.73% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.06% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.8% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.78% 3-2 @ 3.6% 3-0 @ 3.18% 4-1 @ 1.97% 4-2 @ 1.48% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.31% Other @ 3.32% Total : 41.21% | 1-1 @ 10.61% 2-2 @ 6.56% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.29% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.8% Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.58% | 1-2 @ 7.99% 0-1 @ 6.46% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.86% 1-3 @ 4% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.29% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.44% 1-4 @ 1.51% 2-4 @ 1.24% 0-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.52% Total : 35.21% |
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