SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gent win with a probability of 49.05%. A win for Standard Liege had a probability of 27.37% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gent win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.81%) and 0-2 (7.66%). The likeliest Standard Liege win was 2-1 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Gent in this match.
| Result | ||
| Standard Liege | Draw | Gent |
27.37% ( -0.18) | 23.58% ( -0.08) | 49.05% ( 0.25) |
| Both teams to score 58.66% ( 0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.29% ( 0.25) | 42.71% ( -0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.89% ( 0.25) | 65.11% ( -0.25) |
| Standard Liege Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.15% ( 0) | 28.85% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.29% ( 0) | 64.71% ( -0.01) |
| Gent Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.43% ( 0.19) | 17.56% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.89% ( 0.33) | 48.11% ( -0.34) |
| Score Analysis |
| Standard Liege | Draw | Gent |
| 2-1 @ 6.81% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 6.3% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 3.92% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 2.82% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.45% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.62% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.45% Total : 27.37% | 1-1 @ 10.95% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.92% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 5.07% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.57% | 1-2 @ 9.53% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 8.81% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 7.66% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 5.52% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 4.44% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 3.43% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 2.4% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 1.93% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 1.49% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.81% Total : 49.05% |
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