SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 57.1%. A win for Charleroi had a probability of 21.55% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.43%) and 0-1 (8.35%). The likeliest Charleroi win was 2-1 (5.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Genk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Charleroi | Draw | Genk |
21.55% ( 0.01) | 21.35% ( 0) | 57.1% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 59.71% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.71% ( 0.01) | 38.29% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.43% ( 0.01) | 60.57% ( -0.01) |
| Charleroi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.84% ( 0.02) | 31.15% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.51% ( 0.02) | 67.48% ( -0.02) |
| Genk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.73% ( 0) | 13.27% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.92% ( 0) | 40.07% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Charleroi | Draw | Genk |
| 2-1 @ 5.68% ( 0) 1-0 @ 4.82% 2-0 @ 2.81% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.23% ( 0)3-1 @ 2.21% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.09% ( 0)Other @ 2.71% Total : 21.55% | 1-1 @ 9.74% 2-2 @ 5.73% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.13% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.5% ( 0)Other @ 0.24% Total : 21.35% | 1-2 @ 9.83% ( -0) 0-2 @ 8.43% ( -0.01)0-1 @ 8.35% ( -0)1-3 @ 6.62% 0-3 @ 5.68% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.86% ( 0)1-4 @ 3.34% ( -0)0-4 @ 2.87% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.95% ( 0)1-5 @ 1.35% 0-5 @ 1.16% Other @ 3.66% Total : 57.1% |
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