Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mechelen win with a probability of 58.36%. A win for Beerschot Wilrijk had a probability of 21.6% and a draw had a probability of 20%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mechelen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.35%) and 3-1 (7.02%). The likeliest Beerschot Wilrijk win was 1-2 (5.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mechelen would win this match.
