Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sint-Truiden win with a probability of 62.29%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Beerschot Wilrijk had a probability of 16.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sint-Truiden win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.56%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.89%), while for a Beerschot Wilrijk win it was 0-1 (4.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sint-Truiden would win this match.
