Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sint-Truiden win with a probability of 43.44%. A win for Standard Liege had a probability of 31.12% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sint-Truiden win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (7.36%). The likeliest Standard Liege win was 0-1 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sint-Truiden would win this match.
